It figures. I start a new feature late in the year for the NFL playoffs, and I’m killing it. It figures. The time when I’m NOT gambling I’m making all the right picks. Maybe this was the route I should have went all along instead of the fantasy angle, I mean, who really cares about my fantasy picks. I guess who really cares about my ATS picks, unless you’ve been piggybacking off them to make some moolah. Being a professional sports gambler was once a dream of mine… With a 7-1 record through the first 2 weeks of the playoffs, I’m feeling pretty good. I’m in a zone, yet if I did decide to put a little money on a pick, that would surely be the one I lose.
Seattle -7.5 Green Bay
It’s really hard to keep the emotion out of gambling, especially when it comes to the Packers. It really does skew your judgement; it definitely sways you one way or another. I mean, who wants to bet on a team they can’t root for? I’ll tell you what, if that team is going to win you some money, you WILL be rooting for them. That’s why I try to stay away from these type of situations. It’s like betting against the Bears. I’ve done it in the past, and it’s painful. It’s just not fun, so I stopped doing that. That being said, I tried to stay level headed about this pick.
I’m not totally done with the NFL season, totally ready to move on until the Packers are OUT. It irks me every week that they’re still alive, because I want them to lose. I don’t want to have to wait until the Super Bowl for that.
I’m going with Seattle in this one. If you got in early, you got the even 7, but that was bumped to 7.5 pretty quickly 7.5 is always a tricky number. In my mind, Papa Vegas is trying to get money on the dog, since you’re getting that extra hook. This isn’t always the case, but in big games, in big MONEY games, I believe it is. So… I lean the favorite right off the bat.
Looking at the matchup, it helps to have Aaron Rodgers at less than 100%, but… if I was Pete Carroll, I would be telling my team to play like he IS 100%. It’s when you think someone is hurt, you start to change your game… maybe you take your foot off the gas a little bit. I think Slimy Pete will make sure his team is focused. I also like the fact that this game is in Seattle. That definitely brings a greater home field advantage than most stadiums. I like the physical Seattle D against the small GB receivers. I also like the matchup of the Seattle offense against the GB defense. So across the board, besides the QB position IF Rodgers were 100% (and he’s NOT), I see advantages for Seattle. I’d like to say this game is going to be a blowout, but that may be me just wishing. Lay the points.
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Beep, beep, beep… that’s me backing up the truck for this game. I really, really, really like the Colts in this one. Let me tell you why. Super Bowl favorite right now= Patriots. Home team= Patriots. Belicheck and Brady= Patriots. Public favorite= Patriots. Didn’t they blow the Colts out earlier this year too? And Indy is coming off an upset win in Denver, against a now known less than 100% Manning… so that’s the reason they won, NOT because the Colts are any good. Nobody is giving the Colts a chance in this one. So… that’s why.
I’m going opposite the big public play in this one. Not JUST because it’s the opposite play, but because I picked the Colts as my preseason Super Bowl team. It’s because I’m buying all in on Andrew Luck; I think he’s the real deal. I’m not sure if I like the Colts to win straight up, but I definitely think this game stays close. In fact, if I were to win the early game, and Green Bay is done, I may feel good enough to take the Colts ML. Either way, I would definitely take the points in this one.
Only 2 remain in the ATS tracker:
Me 7-1 and Wizzo 5-3
You going opposite me Wizzo to try and tie this thing up?
Wizzo
5-3 is a good ats record that I would love to have throughout the nfl season. But 7-1 is damn near impossible to keep up! No money on the games and picking winners seems easy. As soon as we lay some cold hard cash down, it goes the other way. With that said, here are my picks…
Sea-7.5, chawks 31, cheese 20
Just cant take the cheeseturds with rodgers at less than 100%. Of course I want them to lose and lose badly, but if chawks d can pressure rodgers along with that chawks secondary, I just cant see cheeseville staying in this one. They need a big game from lacy to take some pressure off, but rodgers played entire cowgirl game out of the shotgun. Plus, lacy was so scared he couldnt breath last week. I hate the chawks too, but I think they go b2b superbowls with a loss coming this year.
Pats-7, pats 38, indy 27
I am going to take the pats in this purely because this is your game of the playoffs…your luck has to end right? Get me to within a game for the superbowl!
Pats vs Chawks SB
LD#19
Packers vs Patriots in the Superbowl would be a much more exciting match up. Seahawks are about as exciting as the Ravens, and just as dirty. I know you homer Chicago fans won’t like it, but its not their fault the Bears suck!
JEFFK
Yep, plenty of room next to the Bears on this couch to watch the game this weekend… plenty of room for the Cowboys.